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#1

Post by B0N3 » Tue Nov 29, 2016 8:36 pm

Image Asia Roundup: Aussie snaps 3-day winning streak, Yen strengthens on better-than-expected economic data, crude oil volatile ahead of OPEC meet – Tuesday, November 29th, 2016

Market Roundup



  • CFTC IMM CTA data – Specs boost USD longs again, JPY net longs fall to lowest since early January, 10.9k contracts, EUR shorts 119.3k, GBP net shorts 74.3k and lowest since late September, AUD longs off, NZD shorts up.
     
  • Fund managers cut S&P 500 futures net long positions in latest week – CFTC.
     
  • Foreigners rush to buy into not-Abenomics narrative – Financial Times.
     
  • Israel CB Gov – Small countries bracing for protectionist turn – Nikkei.
     
  • Japan Oct household spending -1.0% m/m, -0.4% y/y, +0.1% and -0.6% eyed.
     
  • Japan Oct retail sales -0.1% y/y, -1.2% eyed.
     
  • Japan Oct unemployment 3.0%, unch and as eyed, jobs-applicants ratio 1.40, best since Aug ’91, 1.39 eyed, Sept 1.38, conditions continue to improve.
     
  • PBOC fixes CNY at 6.8889, USD lower, state-owned banks again seen buying CNY.
     
  • China CB branches said to ask banks to step up mortgage controls – Bloomberg.
     
  • BoC Gov Poloz – Service sector pointing way to recovery, divergence in US- Canada monetary policy, plenty uncertainties still, will use unconventional measures if needed but would take shock to inflation view to move, too early to tell the impact of Trump win – Reuters.
     
  • UK consumer morale edges up, households worry about finances – YouGov, CEBR.
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#2

Post by B0N3 » Thu Dec 01, 2016 11:12 pm

Asia Roundup: Dollar hits 9-1/2-month high against  yen, crude oil surge triggers risk-on sentiment, gold hovers near 10-month low – Thursday, December 1st, 2016

Market Roundup



  • BoJ Policy Board Sakurai – Sticks to recent majority mantra, current policy working fine, BoJ to continue to buy massive amounts of JGBs, government, and private sector must help too, global uncertainties still loom large – RTRS.
     
  • ADB head Nakao – Don’t expect Fed policy to have lasting impact on capital flows between US-emerging economies – Reuters.
     
  • Riksbank DepGov Skingsley – Will intervene in SEK if necessary to maintain current inflation trade, SEK to appreciate in medium-term – Reuters.
     
  • Japan MoF survey – Q3 CAPEX -1.3% y/y, first fall since Q1 ’13, excl software +0.4% q/q, recurring profits +11.5% y/y, first rise in year, sales -1.5%.
     
  • MoF flow data week-ended Nov 26 – Japanese buy net Y117.8 bln foreign stocks, Y112.3 bln bonds, Y16.6 bln bills; foreign investors buy net Y330.5 bln Japanese stocks, Y22.0 bln bonds, Y160.4 bln bills.
     
  • Japan plans tax breaks for small businesses that hike pay – Nikkei.
     
  • Trump economic policies would boost Japan, says IMF official – Nikkei.
     
  • Japan Nov mfg PMI – final 51.3, flash 51.1, Oct final 51.4.
     
  • China Nov Caixin Mfg PMI 50.9, 50.8 forecast, Oct 51.2, output-input prices up.
     
  • China Nov official Mfg PMI 51.7, best in two years, 51.0 forecast, Oct 51.2.
     
  • China Nov official services PMI 54.7, Oct 54.0.
     
  • PBOC Huang Yiping warns of risks to ’17 growth – China Securities Journal.
     
  • PBOC fixes CNY at 6.8958 vs USD, yesterday 6.8865.
     
  • Australia Q3 new CAPEX -4.0% q/q, ‘16/17 latest estimate A$106.9 bln, -2.5% and A$111 bln forecast, Q3 bldg CAPEX -5.7%, plant/machinery -1.9%, risks to GDP.
     
  • Australia Nov PMI +3.3 points to 54.2.
     
  • Australia Nov CoreLogic home prices +0.2% m/m, 11th straight gain, +9.5% y/y.
     
  • New Zealand Q3 terms of trade -1.8% q/q, import prices -1.0%, export prices -2.8%.
     
  • New Zealand Nov QV residential property index +12.4% y/y, “slowest” since May.
     
  • BoI – Italy’s top three banks systemically important, need buffer – Reuters.
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#3

Post by B0N3 » Fri Dec 02, 2016 10:30 pm

Asia Roundup: Antipodeans consolidate between narrow ranges, crude oil and Treasury yields off highs, investors cautious ahead of U.S. Nonfarm Payroll report – Friday, December 2nd, 2016

Market Roundup


  • Japan seen cutting tax view in a test for Abenomics – Nikkei.
     
  • Japan Nov monetary base +22.2% y/y to Y419.84 trln, a fresh record high.
     
  • Japanese unions look to keep wage demands at ’16 levels – Nikkei.
     
  • CBA issues Y20 bln ’26 subordinated notes – Reuters.
     
  • PBOC CNY fix 6.8794 vs USD, yesterday 6.8958.
     
  • HKMA – Yuan deposits see a noticeable drop in first 3 weeks of Nov – Reuters.
     
  • Foreign CB US debt holdings +$6.369 bln to $3.126 trln Nov 30 week, Treasury holdings +$4.458 bln to $2.802 trln, agencies +$2.362 bln to $264.425 bln.
     
  • NY Fed swaps with foreign CBs $1.34 bln Nov 30 week, all with ECB.
     
  • Lipper – Investors yank $3 bln from US-based bond funds during week.
     
  • US Nov light vehicles sales 1.38 mln units, +3.7% y/y, steep discounts helped, 17.87 mln SAAR, Oct 18.02 mln – Autodata.
     
  • Australia Oct retail sales +0.5% m/m, +0.3% forecast, Sept +0.6%.

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#4

Post by B0N3 » Mon Dec 05, 2016 10:10 pm

Asia Roundup: Kiwi slumps on PM John Key's surprise resignation, euro hits 21-month low after Italy's PM Renzi loses reform referendum, Asian shares trade in red – Monday, December 5th, 2016

Market Roundup



  • CFTC IMM CTA data – Specs up USD net longs to highest since January, net short JPY for 1st time since late December ’15, EUR shorts roughly unchanged.
     
  • Italy PM Renzi loses constitutional reform referendum, clear “no” win, PM to convene cabinet tomorrow and tender resignation to president – Reuters.
     
  • Far-right concedes defeat in Austria presidential election, Van der Bellen affirmed president – ORF TV, Reuters.
     
  • John Key to resign as New Zealand Prime Minister and National party leader, resignation effective next Monday
     
  • NZ DepPM English considering leadership – Reuters.
     
  • Japan MoF Asakawa – Market currently relatively stable but uncertainties abound post-US election, Italy vote, fully supports BoJ – Reuters.
     
  • Fitch – Japan insurers to seek more M&A, bond purchases abroad.
     
  • Japan Nov PMI services up to 51.8, highest since January, Oct 50.5.
     
  • China Nov Caixin PMI services 53.1, highest since July ’15, Oct 52.4.
     
  • PBOC advisor Sheng – China should use part of its foreign reserves to stabilize yuan expectations – 21st Century Business Herald.
     
  • PBOC Fan – To boost equity funding with national investment standard
     
  • US Pres Trump talks to Taiwan president by phone, China lodges protest
     
  • Trump threatens retribution for any US companies that move jobs overseas, could face 35% tariff – Washington Post.
     
  • NY Fed Dudley – Stands by Wall Street reforms, must complete work – Reuters.
     
  • UK PM May’s Brexit plans face British supreme court test – Reuters.
     
  • UK manufacturers see post-Brexit bounceback – EEF/BDO survey.
     
  • Australia Q3 business inventories +0.5% q/q, +0.2% forecast.
     
  • Australia Q3 company gross profits +1.0% q/q, +3% forecast, pre-tax +3.6%.
     
  • Australia Nov VFACTS new vehicle sales +0.3% y/y, ’16-to-date +2.2%, record?
     
  • Australia Nov overall job ads +1.7% m/m, +6.1% AR, Oct +1.0%, +5.2%.
     
  • New Zealand Nov ANZ commodity price index +2.7% m/m, seventh straight rise, Oct +0.7%.

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#5

Post by B0N3 » Tue Dec 06, 2016 10:52 pm

Asia Roundup: Aussie falls as RBA stands pat as expected, gold and silver lower- Tuesday, December 06, 2016

Market Roundup



  • RBA leaves OCR as is at 1.5% as eyed, policy consistent with growth-inflation targets, China economy has steadied but global growth below average, rising AUD could complicated transition, commodity price rises good for terms of trade, growth to slow before picking up again.
     
  • Australia at risk of GDP contraction after disappointing data – Reuters.
     
  • Australia Q3 current account balance in A$11.4 bln deficit, net exports impact on GDP -0.2%, A$13.7 bln def, zero impact eyed, Australia foreign debt A$1.05 trln, terms of trade bright spot, +4.5% and third highest on record, Q2 +2.3%.
     
  • Australia Q3 government spending -0.2% to A$77.64 bln, investment -10.4%.
     
  • Japan government to issue deficit-covering bonds of @Y1.9 trln to offset revenue shortfall this fiscal year – Reuters.
     
  • Japan October total cash earnings +0.1% y/y, real wages unchanged, overtime -1.4%.
     
  • Japan won't recognize China as WTO market economy – Nikkei.
     
  • Japan tax reform to ease up on overseas shell companies – Nikkei.
     
  • Rogue Chinese renminbi exchange rate raises eyebrows, apparently erroneous quote on Google would have represented an 8% devaluation – Financial Times.
     
  • Xi Jinping to stop off at next Davos foru, first attendance by a Chinese president highlights global ambition – Financial Times.
     
  • Fed officials – Trump should not spend like economy in crisis – Reuters.
     
  • St Louis Fed Bullard – December rate hike reasonable, Trump policy impact unlikely to be felt for a year – Reuters.
     
  • UK Nov BRC like-for-like retail sales +0.6% y/y, all sales +1.3%, Oct +1.7%, +2.4%, sales slower and cluster around Black Friday.
More Info : http://www.firewoodfx.com/post/3890/asi ... r-06-2016/

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#6

Post by B0N3 » Fri Dec 09, 2016 12:10 am

Asia Roundup: Antipodeans hit multi-week highs on upbeat Chinese trade report, dollar eases as long-dated Treasury yields fall, investors cautious ahead of ECB policy meet – Thursday, December 8th, 2016

Market Roundup


  • Japan Q3 GDP revised +0.3% q/q, +1.3% AR, +0.6% and +2.4% eyed, prelim +0.5%, +2.2%, CAPEX -0.4% q/q, private consumption +0.3%, net external demand +0.3%, CAPEX fall, forecast difficulties after base year change behind miss.
     
  • MoF flow data week-ended Dec 3 – Japanese sell net Y72.1 bln foreign stocks, Y887.6 bln bonds, Y39.0 bln bills; foreign investors buy net Y400.1 bln Japanese stocks, Y658.2 bln bonds, sell Y510.6 bln bills.
     
  • MoF November flows – Japanese buy net Y1.2793 trln foreign stocks, Y83.9 bln bonds, sell Y74.7 bln bills; foreign investors buy net Y1.2103 trln Japanese stocks, sell Y344.3 bln bonds, buy Y2.6207 trln bills.
     
  • Japan Nov bank loans Y504.481 trln, +2.4% y/y, Oct +2.4%, Sept +2.2%.
     
  • Japan Inc warns of global trade contraction under Pres Trump – Reuters poll.
     
  • Japan to tell big companies to pay subcontractors in cash – Nikkei.
     
  • Japan’s Mizuho develops its own virtual currency – Nikkei.
     
  • Japan Nissin Food set to build first domestic plant in two decades – Nikkei.
     
  • Lloyds prices Y61 bln 5/10-year samurais, via Daiwa, Mizuho, Nomura – IFR.
     
  • China Nov trade surplus $44.61 bln, exports +0.1% y/y, imports +6.7%, $46.3 bln/-5%/-1.3% eyed, imports up most since Sept ’14, exports up first time since March.
     
  • China Nov trade surplus CNY298.11 bln, exports +5.9% y/y, imports +13.0%.
     
  • China Nov iron ore imports +13.8% m/m.
     
  • China launches exchange for fast growing commercial paper market – Reuters.
     
  • Australia Oct trade deficit A$1.541 bln, A$800 mln eyed, exports +1% m/m, imports +2%.
     
  • RBNZ Gov Wheeler – OCR likely to remain at current level for some time, NZD- migration-house price inflation among factors eyed, changes could see change in policy path, overall risks stil to downside – Reuters.
     
  • New Zealand ‘16/17 net debt 24.3% of GDP, OBEGAL surplus NZ$47 mln, surplus forecast cut on earthquake costs, net debt 18.8% of GDP by ‘20/21, growth to average 3% over next five years, ‘16/17 bond issuance NZ$8 bln, pre vest NZ$7 bln.
     
  • New Zealand’s Bill English set to become PM after leadership rivals concede – Nikkei.
     
  • UK Nov RICS house price index +30, seven month high, +26 eyed, Oct +23, number of prospective buyers low however.
     
  • UK REC survey – Job vacancies, permanent vacancies-salaries, temp billings All up, placements and vacancies highest since February.
     
  • Italy demands more time from ECB to rescue Monte dei Paschi -Financial Times.


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#7

Post by B0N3 » Fri Dec 09, 2016 10:34 pm

Asia Roundup: Antipodeans off multi-week highs, dollar gains on higher U.S. Treasury yields, euro nurses losses following ECB policy decision- Friday, December 9th, 2016

Market Roundup


  • Japan FinMin Aso – To compile third extra budget for current FY – Reuters.
  • Japan MoF/ESRI survey – Q4 big Mfg sentiment index +7.5, Q3 +2.9, +4.6 forecast in Q1 ’17, ‘16/17 CAPEX +2.5% y/y, previous survey +4.9%.
     
  • Japan Nov money supply M2 +4.0% y/y, M3 +3.4%, broadest liquidity +1.9%, Oct +3.7%, rev +3.1% and rev +1.6%.
     
  • Japan’s frugal millennials a bad omen for its economy – Reuters.
     
  • PBOC fixes yuan at 6.8972 vs USD, yesterday 6.8731, biggest daily percentage move since October 21, 241 ticks or 0.35%.
     
  • China SAFE – Cross-border capital flow stable – Xinhua.
     
  • China Nov CPI +0.1% m/m, +2.3% y/y, +0.1% and +2.2% forecast, y/y rise largest since April ’16, food CPI +4.0% y/y, non-food +1.8%.
     
  • China Nov PPI +1.5% m/m, +3.3% y/y, +2.2% forecast, y/y rise most since Oct ’11.
     
  • China private banks’ assets reach CNY132.9 bln in Q3 – Xinhua.
     
  • Foreign CB US debt holdings +$12.140 bln to $3.139 trln Dec 7 week, Treasury holdings +$10.781 bln to $2.813 trln, agencies +$1.103 bln to $265.528 bln.
     
  • NY Fed – Swaps with foreign CBs $1.329 bln Dec 7 week, all with ECB.
     
  • Lipper – US-based taxable bond funds break five-week outflow streak.
     
  • Australia Oct owner-occupied housing finance +0.8% m/m, -1% forecast, value of investment housing finance +0.7%.
     
  • New Zealand Nov electronic card retail sales -0.1% m/m, +5.1% y/y, earthquake weighed.
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#8

Post by B0N3 » Tue Dec 13, 2016 10:30 pm

Asia Roundup: Aussie declines on downbeat economic data, dollar eases from 10-month high against the yen, investors brace Fed policy outcome – Tuesday, December 13th, 2016

Market Roundup


  • Fed gives banks five years to comply with Volcker Rule limits – Reuters.
     
  • CNY firms as state banks sell retreating USD, PBOC fix 6.8934 – Reuters.
     
  • China Stats Bureau – Able to keep CNY basically stable, FX reserves ample, economy stable, more positive but still faces uncertainties at home abroad, property control measures working, inflation to remain benign, employment stable, November jobless sub-5%.
     
  • China Nov industrial output +0.51% m/m, +6.2% y/y, +6.1% y/y forecast.
     
  • China Nov retail sales +0.97% m/m, +10.8% y/y, +10.1% y/y forecast.
     
  • China Jan-Nov fixed asset investment +8.3%, as forecast, private-sector +3.1%.
     
  • China Jan-Nov property investment +6.5%, Nov +7.9% y/y, lowest since ’15.
     
  • China Nov fiscal revenues +3.1% y/y, expenditures +12.2%, Jan-Nov +5.7%, +10.2%, planner approved $38.26 bln fixed-asset investment projects in Nov.
     
  • Moody’s – China banks face increasing risks including rising interconnectedness.
     
  • China SIC – Deficit may rise to 3.5% in ’17 – 21st Century Business Herald.
     
  • South Korea FX deposits hit five-month low in November – Reuters.
     
  • ADP lowers ’16 growth forecast for developing Asia to 5.6% (from 5.7%).
     
  • Australia Nov NAB business conditions index +5, confidence +5, Oct +7, +4.
     
  • Australia Q3 home price index +1.5% q/q, +3.5% y/y, +2.3% q/q forecast.
     
  • New Zealand Q3 terms of trade index -1.8% q/q, export volumes -0.7%, prices -2.8%, import prices -1.0%.
     
  • New Zealand Q3 manufacturing sales volumes +2.1% q/q.

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#9

Post by B0N3 » Wed Dec 14, 2016 11:36 pm

Asia Roundup: Dollar struck within narrow ranges as investors cautious on Fed policy outcome, oil declines as U.S. crude inventories rise, Asian shares gain – Wednesday, December 14th, 2016

Market Roundup


  • BoJ Tankan – Big Mfg DI +10, non-Mfg +18, +10 and +19 forecast, March forecast at +8, +16, pre vest +9, +19, FY ‘16/17 CAPEX +5.5%, +6.1% forecast, small firm CAPEX -6.2%, big firm recurring profits -18.9%, USD/JPY to average 104.90, Sept survey 107.92, big Mfg sentiment up for first time in six quarters, highest since Dec ’15 R&D investment to be incorporated in survey from March ‘17.
     
  • BoJ officials – BoJ bought more JGBs in wake of sharp yield rises, to steer yield curve towards what central bank deems appropriate – Reuters.
     
  • EU leans toward nixing 80% of Japanese auto parts tariffs – Nikkei.
    Toyota on track to sell over 10 mln cars for the fourth year – Nikkei.   
     
  • China PBOC advisor Fan Gang – No cause for CNY to slide – China Sec Journal.
     
  • PBOC fixes CNY at 6.9028 vs USD, weaker than 6.8934 yesterday.
    Australia Dec Westpac/MI consumer sentiment index 97.3, lowest since April and below 100, Nov 101.3.
     
  • Australia Nov new motor vehicle sales -0.6% m/m.
     
  • Thomson Reuters /INSEAD Q4 Asia business sentiment index 63, Q3 68, sluggish demand biggest risk, Australia businesses most optimistic, Singapore least, household-food-beverage sectors most positive, autos least.


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#10

Post by B0N3 » Thu Dec 15, 2016 10:05 pm

Asia Roundup: Dollar index hits 14-year high, euro falls to 21-month low as Fed increases 2017 rate hike projections, investors eye BoE policy outcome – Thursday, December 15th, 2016

Market Roundup


  • DXY highest since January ’03, USD/JPY highest since February
     
  • Fed lifts rates, sees a faster pace of hikes in Trump’s first year – Reuters.
     
  • FOMC Chair Yellen – Bank safety rules should be kept in place – Reuters.
     
  • Moody’s – Fed rate hike reflects economic strength.
     
  • Fitch – Fed hike heralds step up in normalization.
     
  • Most US primary dealers still see only two Fed hikes in ’17 – Reuters poll.
     
  • Japan PM advisor Nishimura – Weak JPY positive for the economy, will lift corp  profits, natural for USD to rise if US economy strong, BoJ likely to continue to ease though changes in US policy will have effect – Reuters.
     
  • BoJ mulls upgrading economic outlook – Nikkei.
     
  • BoJ Tankan corporate price expectations survey – CPI forecast at +0.7% one year out, +1.0% in three, +1.1% in five, previous +0.6%, +1.0%, +1.0%, though changes small firms up inflation outlook for first time since March ‘14.
     
  • MoF flow data week-ended Dec 10 – Japanese sell net Y61.3 bln foreign stocks, buy Y267.4 bln bonds, sell Y36.2 bln bills; foreign investors buy net Y278.4 bln Japanese stocks, Y731.0 bln bonds, Y981.8 bln short-term bills.
     
  • Japan Dec PMI Mfg – flash 51.9, highest since January, Nov final 51.3.
     
  • Tokyo to chip in Y1 trln for UK nuclear project – Nikkei.
     
  • PBOC fixes CNY at 6.9289 vs USD, highest since June ’08, reports state-owned banks selling USD in onshore market – Reuters.
     
  • China non-fin’l outbound direct investment +55.3% y/y, CNY1.07 trln, Nov  alone +76.5%, CNY $15.7 bln, Jan-Nov FDI +3.9% y/y, CNY731.8 bln.
     
  • Australia Nov employment +39.1k, unemployment 5.7%, participation 64.6%, +20k, 5.6% and 64.5% forecast, full-time employment +39.3k, Oct employment revised up to +15.2k from +9.8k.
     
  • Australia Dec MI inflation expectations +2.2% AR weighted mean, +3.4% trimmed mean, Nov +2.3%, +3.2%, result mixed, expectations still subdued.
     
  • New Zealand Nov BNZ/BNZ PMI 54.4, off 0.7 point, 13-month low but still positive.
     
  • New Zealand Q3 value of residential building work +2.4% q/q, non-residential flat.

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